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Market Research: Global Opportunities and Threats in
the Wax Business, 2006-2020

Global Opportunities and Threats in the Petroleum Wax Business, 2006-2020

Published August 2007

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This report summarizes the results of Kline & Company's comprehensive analysis of the global supply and demand of waxes, including vegetable-based, animal-based, mineral-based, and synthetic waxes. It addresses neat GTL waxes as well as GTL waxy raffinates and will explore the potential for these waxes to be processed in conventional refineries and blended with petroleum waxes to increase global wax volumes.

Competitive supplier profiles are provided for 12 entities, including de-oilers as well as major global wax manufacturers and marketers. (Y635)

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FULL REPORT [US$ 30 200 (thirty thousand two hundred US Dollars)]

INTRODUCTION [US$ 0]

Table 1-1 DESCRIPTION OF WAX TESTS AND TYPICAL VALUES
Table 1-2 LIST OF SELECTED ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THIS REPORT

WAX TYPES, PROPERTIES, AND GRADES [US$ 1 500]

Figure 3-1 RELATIVE PERCENTAGE CONTRIBUTION OF EACH WAX SOURCE TO GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY
Table 3-1 PROPERTY COMPARISON OF WAX TYPES
Table 3-2 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF FRP WAXES
Table 3-3 PROPERTIES OF PETROLATUM AND MICROCRYSTALLINE WAXES
Table 3-4 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF MONTAN WAX
Table 3-5 COMPARISON OF SYNTHETIC WAX PROPERTIES
Table 3-6 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF PALM WAXES
Table 3-7 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF CARNAUBA WAXES
Table 3-8 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF CANDELILLA WAX
Table 3-9 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF SOY AND PALM WAXES
Table 3-10 TYPICAL PROPERTIES OF BEESWAX COMPARED TO FRP

APPLICATIONS AND MARKET SEGMENTATION [US$ 1 500]

Figure 4-1 GLOBAL WAX MARKET SEGMENTATION, 2006
Table 4-1 PREDOMINANT WAX TYPES USED IN EACH MARKET SEGMENT
Figure 4-2 LEADING END USE SEGMENTS IN THE RHEOLOGY AND SURFACE APPLICATIONS SECTOR

WAX MANUFACTURING PROCESSES AND ECONOMICS [US$ 5 000]

Figure 5-1 COST OF WAX PRODUCTION
Figure 5-2 COST COMPONENTS OF WAX PRODUCTION
Table 5-1 FEEDSTOCK PRICES USED IN MODELS
Figure 5-3 GLOBAL VEGETABLE OIL SUPPLY
Figure 5-4 TRADITIONAL GROUP I LUBRICANT BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING PLANT
Table 5-2 WAX MANUFACTURING OPTION FOR FRP WAX FROM A LUBRICANT BASESTOCK PLANT
Figure 5-5 DETAILED SOLVENT DEWAXING SCHEMATIC
Figure 5-6 RELATIONSHIP OF LUBRICANT BASESTOCK MANUFACTURERS TO DE-OILERS
Figure 5-7 SCHEMATIC OF FULLY-REFINED PETROLEUM WAX PRODUCTION VIA SLACK WAX DE-OILING
Table 5-3 WAX MANUFACTURING OPTION FOR FRP WAX FROM SLACK WAX DE-OILING
Figure 5-8 SCHEMATIC OF VEGETABLE OIL HYDROGENATION MANUFACTURING PLANT
Table 5-4 SOY OIL HYDROGENATION FOR VEGETABLE WAX MANUFACTURING
Figure 5-9 SCHEMATIC OF A SMALL F-T WAX PRODUCTION FACILITY
Table 5-5 SMALL F-T WAX MANUFACTURING OPTION
Figure 5-10 SCHEMATIC OF A LARGE F-T WAX PRODUCTION FACILITY
Table 5-6 LARGE F-T WAX MANUFACTURING OPTION
Figure 5-11 SCHEMATIC OF PE WAX MANUFACTURING VIA ETHYLENE POLYMERIZATION
Figure 5-12 SCHEMATIC OF PE WAX MANUFACTURING VIA POLYETHYLENE BY PRODUCT PROCESSING
Table 5-7 WAX MANUFACTURING COST BY WAX TYPE WITH CRUDE AT US$ 60 PER BARREL

CURRENT AND FORECAST GLOBAL SUPPLY [US$ 9 000]

Figure 6-1 GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY CHAIN DIAGRAM
Figure 6-2 ESTIMATED GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY BY TYPE OF WAX, 1981 TO 2006
Figure 6-3 ESTIMATED GLOBAL SUPPLY OF CRUDE-DERIVED WAXES BY REGION, 1981 TO 2006
Table 6-1 WAX CAPACITY RATIONALIZATIONS, 1996 TO 2006
Figure 6-4 ESTIMATED GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY BY REGION, 2006
Figure 6-5 ESTIMATED GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE, 2006
Figure 6-6 ESTIMATED CAPACITY OF WORLD’S TOP 15 PETROLEUM WAX SUPPLIERS
Table 6-2 NAMEPLATE CAPACITY OF 12 LARGEST WAX PLANTS
Figure 6-7 ESTIMATED GLOBAL PETROLEUM WAX SUPPLY BY REGION, 2006
Table 6-3 GLOBAL PETROLEUM WAX SUPPLY, 1981 TO 2006
Figure 6-8 ESTIMATED CAPACITY OF WORLD’S 15 LARGEST PETROLEUM AND F-T WAX SUPPLIERS
Figure 6-9 ESTIMATED GLOBAL SUPPLY OF PE WAXES FROM DIRECT POLYMERIZATION BY COMPANY, 2006
Table 6-4 ETHYLENE-DERIVED SYNTHETIC WAX PRODUCTION BY REGION, SUPPLIER, AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Table 6-5 GLOBAL SUPPLY OF VEGETABLE, ANIMAL, AND OTHER MINERAL WAXES BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Figure 6-10 ESTIMATED NORTH AMERICAN WAX SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE, 2006
Figure 6-11 ESTIMATED NORTH AMERICAN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 6-6 NORTH AMERICAN WAX CAPACITY AND SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Figure 6-12 ESTIMATED LATIN AMERICAN WAX SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE, 2006
Figure 6-13 ESTIMATED LATIN AMERICAN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 6-7 LATIN AMERICAN WAX CAPACITY AND SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Figure 6-14 ESTIMATED WESTERN EUROPEAN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Figure 6-15 ESTIMATED WESTERN EUROPEAN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 6-8 WESTERN EUROPEAN WAX CAPACITY AND SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Figure 6-16 ESTIMATED EASTERN EUROPEAN WAX SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE, 2006
Figure 6-17 ESTIMATED EASTERN EUROPEAN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 6-9 EASTERN EUROPEAN WAX CAPACITY AND SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Figure 6-18 ESTIMATED ASIAN WAX SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE, 2006
Figure 6-19 ESTIMATED ASIAN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 6-10 ASIAN WAX CAPACITY AND SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Figure 6-20 ESTIMATED AFRICAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN WAX SUPPLY BY WAX TYPE, 2006
Figure 6-21 ESTIMATED AFRICAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN PETROLEUM WAX CAPACITY BY WAX TYPE AND SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 6-11 WAX CAPACITY AND SUPPLY IN AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST BY WAX TYPE AND PLANT LOCATION, 2006
Figure 6-22 MOST LIKELY GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY SCENARIO BY TYPE OF WAX, 1981 TO 2020
Figure 6-23 MOST LIKELY GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY SCENARIO BY REGION, 1996 TO 2020
Table 6-12 MOST LIKELY GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY SCENARIO BY WAX TYPE AND REGION, 2006 TO 2020
Table 6-13 GLOBAL WAX OVERSUPPLY SCENARIO BY WAX TYPE AND REGION, 2006 TO 2020
Table 6-14 GLOBAL WAX UNDERSUPPLY SCENARIO BY WAX TYPE AND REGION, 2006 TO 2020
Figure 6-24 FUTUREVIEW FORECAST SCENARIOS FOR GLOBAL WAX SUPPLY, 1981 TO 2020

WAX DEMAND [US$ 9 000]

Figure 7-1 GLOBAL WAX DEMAND BY REGION, 2006
Figure 7-2 GLOBAL WAX DEMAND BY APPLICATION, 2006
Figure 7-3 NORTH AMERICAN WAX DEMAND, 2006
Figure 7-4 NORTH AMERICAN WAX DEMAND FOR RHEOLOGIC/SURFACE APPLICATIONS BY END USE, 2006
Figure 7-5 LATIN AMERICAN WAX DEMAND, 2006
Figure 7-6 LATIN AMERICAN WAX DEMAND BY COUNTRY, 2006
Figure 7-7 WESTERN EUROPEAN WAX DEMAND, 2006
Figure 7-8 WESTERN EUROPEAN WAX DEMAND FOR RHEOLOGIC/SURFACE APPLICATIONS BY END USE, 2006
Figure 7-9 EASTERN EUROPEAN WAX DEMAND, 2006
Figure 7-10 ASIAN WAX DEMAND, 2006
Figure 7-11 AFRICAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN WAX DEMAND, 2006
Figure 7-12 OVERALL WAX DEMAND TRENDS, 2007 TO 2020
Figure 7-13 GLOBAL DEMAND FORECAST BY REGION, 2006 TO 2020
Figure 7-14 GLOBAL DEMAND FORECAST BY END-USE APPLICATION, 2006 TO 2020
Figure 7-15 PRODUCTION OF WOOD-BASED PANEL PRODUCTS BY COUNTRY, 2004
Figure 7-16 PRODUCTION OF WOOD-BASED PANEL PRODUCTS BY REGION, 2004
Figure 7-17 ASIAN MDF PRODUCTION, 1993 TO 2005
Table 7-1 GLOBAL WAX DEMAND BY REGION AND END-USE APPLICATION, 2006
Table 7-2 GLOBAL WAX DEMAND BY REGION AND END-USE APPLICATION, 2011
Table 7-3 GLOBAL WAX DEMAND BY REGION AND END-USE APPLICATION, 2016
Table 7-4 GLOBAL WAX DEMAND BY REGION AND END-USE APPLICATION, 2020

SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE [US$ 5 000]

Figure 8-1 WAX SUPPLY AND DEMAND BY REGION, 2006
Figure 8-2 MOST LIKELY WAX SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE BY REGION, 2011
Figure 8-3 MOST LIKELY WAX SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE BY REGION, 2016
Figure 8-4 MOST LIKELY WAX SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE BY REGION, 2020
Figure 8-5 OVERSUPPLY SCENARIO FOR WAX SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE BY REGION, 2020
Figure 8-6 UNDERSUPPLY SCENARIO FOR WAX SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE BY REGION, 2020

GLOBAL WAX TRADE ANALYSIS [US$ 5 000]

Figure 9-1 EXPORTS OF PETROLEUM WAX WITH OIL CONTENT BELOW 0.75% BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-2 IMPORTS OF PETROLEUM WAX WITH OIL CONTENT BELOW 0.75% BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-3 TOP IMPORTERS AND EXPORTERS OF CRUDE-DERIVED WAXES, 2005
Table 9-1 FRP EXPORTS FROM CHINA, 2001 TO 2005
Figure 9-4 GLOBAL PETROLATUM EXPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-5 GLOBAL PETROLATUM IMPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-6 GLOBAL CANDLE EXPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-7 GLOBAL CANDLE IMPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005
Table 9-2 SOUTH AFRICAN F T WAX EXPORTS, 2002 TO 2005
Table 9-3 MALAYSIAN F T WAX EXPORTS, 2005
Figure 9-8 EXPORTS OF CHEMICALLY DERIVED WAX BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-9 IMPORTS OF CHEMICALLY DERIVED WAX BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-10 ANIMAL WAX VOLUME EXPORTS BY COUNTRY AND REGION, 2005
Figure 9-11 ANIMAL WAX VOLUME IMPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-12 VEGETABLE WAX VOLUME EXPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005
Figure 9-13 VEGETABLE WAX VOLUME WASAG IMPORTS BY COUNTRY, 2005

PRICING ANALYSIS [US$ 5 000]

Figure 10-1 CHINESE WAX EXPORTS BY PRODUCT TYPE, 1992 TO 2007
Figure 10-2 HISTORICAL PRICING FOR NATURAL WAXES, 1997 TO 2006
Figure 10-3 HISTORICAL PRICING FOR REFINED SOY OIL AND ETHYLENE, 1997 TO 2006
Figure 10-4 CURRENT WAX PRICE/MARKET SPACE RELATIONSHIP
Table 10-1 WAX PRICING BY END-USE APPLICATION, 2006
Figure 10-5 LONG-TERM WAX PRICE FORECAST, 2006 TO 2015

BARRIERS TO MARKET ENTRY [US$ 1 500]

Figure 11-1 CURRENT BARRIERS TO WAX MARKET ENTRY

BUSINESS DYNAMICS AND STRATEGIES [US$ 3 000]

Figure 12-1 IMPACT OF A “MODEST” PETROLEUM WAX SUPPLY INCREASE ON THE GLOBAL NON-PETROLEUM WAX MARKET SPACE BY 2016

WAX MANUFACTURER PROFILES [US$ 6 000]

PETROLEUM WAX MANUFACTURERS [US$ 5400]

CPNC AND SINOPEC [US$ 800]

Table 13A-2 CAPACITY OF CNPC AND SINOPEC WAX REFINERIES, 2006

EXXON MOBIL [US$ 800]

Table 13A-3 WAX CAPACITY FOR EXXONMOBIL, 2006

SHELL [US$ 800]

Table 13A-4 WAX CAPACITY FOR SHELL, 2006

NATIONAL IRANIAN OIL COMPANY [US$ 400]

Table 13A-5 IRAN’S WAX EXPORTS, 2001 TO 2005

PDVSA [US$ 800]

Table 13A-6 WAX CAPACITY FOR PDVSA, 2006

LUKOIL [US$ 400]

H&R WASAG [US$ 400]

CALUMET [US$ 400]

PETROBRAS [US$ 800]

Table 13A-7 WAX CAPACITY OF PETROBRAS, 2006

DE-OILERS [US$ 1 500]

Table 13B-1 WAX CAPACITY OF DE-OILERS, 2006

SASOL [US$ 800]

Table 13B-2 WAX CAPACITY OF SASOL, 2006

IGI [US$ 800]

Table 13B-3 WAX CAPACITY OF IGI, 2006

OTHERS [US$ 200]

Table 13B-4 OTHER DE-OILER WAX CAPACITY, 2006

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Market Research: Global Opportunities and Threats in the Wax Business, 2006-2020

Global Opportunities and Threats in the Petroleum Wax Business, 2006-2020

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Market Research: Global Opportunities and Threats in
the Wax Business, 2006-2020