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Market Research: The Global Business Outlook for
Bright Stocks, 2005-2015

The Global Business Outlook for Bright Stocks, 2005-2015

Published November 2006

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This study provides an objective and through analysis of brightstock supply and demand, including an unbiased, forward-thinking assessment of the business outlook for this viscosity grade in the next 10 years on a global basis.

The study focuses specifically on paraffinic and naphthenic bright stocks used in commercial automotive, consumer automotive, and industrial lubricant and functional fluid applications. The geographic scope includes North America, Western Europe, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific region, and a Rest of the World category. International trade is also examined in the report, as the basestock business is increasingly becoming truly global. (Y604)

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FULL REPORT [US$ 15 000 (fifteen thousand US Dollars)]

INTRODUCTION [US$ 0]

Figure 1-1 GLOBAL BRIGHT STOCK USE BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 1-1 LIST OF ACRONYMS/ABBREVIATIONS USED IN THIS STUDY

MANUFACTURING OVERVIEW [US$ 2 300]

Figure 3-1 TYPICAL BRIGHT STOCK MANUFACTURING FLOW PLAN
Figure 3-2 SOLVENT DEASPHALTING PROCESS OVERVIEW
Figure 3-3 DIAGRAM OF PLANT A: LUBRICANT MANUFACTURING WITH NO BRIGHT STOCK
Figure 3-4 DIAGRAM OF PLANT B: LUBRICANT MANUFACTURING WITH BRIGHT STOCK
Table 3-1 BASIC COST CONSIDERATIONS FOR LUBRICANT PLANT A VERSUS PLANT B

CURRENT AND FORECAST DEMAND [US$ 6 000]

Figure 4-1 LUBRICANT CATEGORIES AND BRIGHT STOCK CONSUMPTION, 2005
Table 4-1 AVERAGE BRIGHT STOCK LEVELS IN ENGINE OIL FORMULATIONS BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005, 2010, AND 2015
Table 4-2 FORECAST GROWTH OF ENGINE OIL CONSUMPTION FOR AUTOMOTIVE LUBRICANTS IN NORTH AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-3 FORECAST GROWTH OF ENGINE OIL CONSUMPTION FOR AUTOMOTIVE LUBRICANTS IN LATIN AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-4 FORECAST GROWTH OF ENGINE OIL CONSUMPTION FOR AUTOMOTIVE LUBRICANTS IN WESTERN EUROPE BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-5 FORECAST GROWTH OF ENGINE OIL CONSUMPTION FOR AUTOMOTIVE LUBRICANTS IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-6 FORECAST GROWTH OF ENGINE OIL CONSUMPTION FOR AUTOMOTIVE LUBRICANTS IN THE ROW REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-7 GLOBAL AVERAGE FORECAST GROWTH OF ENGINE OIL CONSUMPTION FOR AUTOMOTIVE LUBRICANTS BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-8 TYPICAL AUTOMOTIVE GEAR OIL FORMULATIONS BY LUBRICANT GRADE, 2005, 2010, AND 2015
Figure 4-2 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF INDUSTRIAL OILS AND BRIGHT STOCKS BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 4-9 TYPICAL INDUSTRIAL OIL FORMULATIONS BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005, 2010, AND 2015
Figure 4-3 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF PROCESS OIL BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 4-10 GLOBAL FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK BY LUBRICANT TYPE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-11 GLOBAL FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-12 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN NORTH AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-13 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN LATIN AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-14 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN WESTERN EUROPE BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-15 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-16 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN THE ROW REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-8 TYPICAL AUTOMOTIVE GEAR OIL FORMULATIONS BY LUBRICANT GRADE, 2005, 2010, AND 2015
Figure 4-2 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF INDUSTRIAL OILS AND BRIGHT STOCKS BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 4-9 TYPICAL INDUSTRIAL OIL FORMULATIONS BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005, 2010, AND 2015
Figure 4-3 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF PROCESS OIL BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 4-10 GLOBAL FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK BY LUBRICANT TYPE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-11 GLOBAL FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-12 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN NORTH AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-13 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN LATIN AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-14 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN WESTERN EUROPE BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-15 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-16 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN THE ROW REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Figure 4-2 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF INDUSTRIAL OILS AND BRIGHT STOCKS BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 4-9 TYPICAL INDUSTRIAL OIL FORMULATIONS BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005, 2010, AND 2015
Figure 4-3 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CONSUMPTION OF PROCESS OIL BY APPLICATION, 2005
Table 4-10 GLOBAL FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK BY LUBRICANT TYPE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-11 GLOBAL FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015 Table 4-12 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN NORTH AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-13 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN LATIN AMERICA BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-14 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN WESTERN EUROPE BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-15 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015
Table 4-16 FORECAST DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCK IN THE ROW REGION BY LUBRICANT TYPE AND GRADE, 2005 TO 2015

CURRENT AND FORECAST SUPPLY [US$ 6 000]

Figure 5-1 GLOBAL BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLIES BY REGION, 2005
Table 5-1 RATIONALIZATION OF BRIGHT-STOCK-PRODUCING REFINERIES, 1995 TO 2005
Figure 5-2 PRODUCTION VOLUMES OF THE TOP TEN BRIGHT STOCK PRODUCERS, 2005
Table 5-2 BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY IN NORTH AMERICA BY MAJOR REFINERY, 2005
Table 5-3 BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY IN LATIN AMERICA BY MAJOR REFINERY, 2005
Table 5-4 BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY IN WESTERN EUROPE BY MAJOR REFINERY, 2005
Table 5-5 BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION BY MAJOR REFINERY, 2005
Table 5-6 BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY IN THE ROW REGION BY MAJOR REFINERY, 2005
Table 5-7 FORECAST SUPPLY OF BRIGHT STOCKS BY REGION, 2005 AND 2015

SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE [US$ 3 000]

Table 6-1 GLOBAL SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR BRIGHT STOCKS BY REGION, 2005 AND 2015

SUBSTITUTE PRODUCTS [US$ 4 500]

Figure 7-1 ANTICIPATED BRIGHT STOCK SUBSTITUTIONS BY 2015
Table 7-1 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CAPACITY OF PIB BY SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 7-2 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CAPACITY OF PAO BY SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 7-3 ESTIMATED GLOBAL CAPACITY OF PAG BY SUPPLIER, 2006
Table 7-4 EXPECTED SUBSTITUTES FOR GLOBAL BRIGHT STOCKS, 2015

FORECASTS [US$ 6 000]

Figure 8-1 BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY TIMELINE, 1995 TO 2015
Figure 8-2 BRIGHT STOCK PREMIUM VERSUS PARAFFINIC NEUTRALS, 1990 TO 2015
Figure 8-3 FUTUREVIEW SCENARIO FORECASTS FOR GLOBAL BRIGHT STOCK SUPPLY, 2015

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Market Research: The Global Business Outlook for Bright Stocks, 2005-2015

The Global Business Outlook for Bright Stocks, 2005-2015

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Market Research: The Global Business Outlook for
Bright Stocks, 2005-2015