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Market Research: Global Opportunities in the Lubricant
Basestocks Industry 2004-2020

Global Opportunities in the Lubricant Basestocks Industry 2004-2020

Published May 2005

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This study is designed specifically to provide subscribers with the information and insights required to construct sound business plans and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the dynamic lubricant basestock business. It focuses specifically on paraffinic, naphthenic, and PAO basestocks used in commercial automotive, consumer automotive, and industrial lubricant and functional fluid applications. The geographic scope includes North, Western Europe, Latin America, the Asia-Pacific region, and a Rest of the World category. International trade is also examined in the report, as the basestock business is increasingly becoming truly global. (Y577)

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FULL REPORT [US$ 57 000 (fifty seven thousand US Dollars)]

INTRODUCTION [US$ 0]

LUBRICANT DEMAND ANALYSIS AND FORECAST [US$ 11 500]

Figure 3-1 GLOBAL FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND BY PRODUCT, 2004
Table 3-1 FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-2 CONSUMER LUBRICANT DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-3 ENGINE TEST REQUIREMENTS FOR GF-4
Table 3-4 BENCH TEST REQUIREMENTS FOR GF-4
Table 3-5 PCMO DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-6 PCMO DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-7 COMMERCIAL LUBRICANT DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-8 API CI-4 HEAVY-DUTY ENGINE OIL SPECIFICATIONS
Table 3-9 HDMO DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-10 HDMO DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-11 INDUSTRIAL LUBRICANT DEMAND IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-12 FINISHED-LUBRICANTS DEMAND PROJECTION IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 3-2 WESTERN EUROPEAN FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND BY COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-13 FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004
Table 3-14 DEMAND FOR CONSUMER LUBRICANTS IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004
Table 3-15 PCMO DEMAND IN WESTERN EUROPE BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-16 PCMO DEMAND IN WESTERN EUROPE BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-17 DEMAND FOR COMMERCIAL LUBRICANTS IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004
Table 3-18 HDMO DEMAND IN WESTERN EUROPE BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-19 HDMO DEMAND IN WESTERN EUROPE BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-20 DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL LUBRICANTS IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004
Table 3-21 DEMAND FOR FINISHED LUBRICANTS IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 3-3 FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND IN ASIA-PACIFIC BY COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-22 FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004
Table 3-23 DEMAND FOR CONSUMER LUBRICANTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004
Table 3-24 PCMO DEMAND BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004
Table 3-25 PCMO DEMAND IN ASIA-PACIFIC BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-26 DEMAND FOR COMMERCIAL LUBRICANTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004
Table 3-27 HDMO DEMAND IN ASIA-PACIFIC BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-28 HDMO DEMAND IN ASIA-PACIFIC BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-29 DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL LUBRICANTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004
Table 3-30 DEMAND FOR FINISHED LUBRICANTS IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 3-4 FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND IN LATIN AMERICA BY COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-31 FINISHED-LUBRICANT DEMAND IN LATIN AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-32 DEMAND FOR CONSUMER LUBRICANTS IN LATIN AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-33 PCMO DEMAND IN LATIN AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-34 PCMO DEMAND IN LATIN AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-35 DEMAND FOR COMMERCIAL LUBRICANTS IN LATIN AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-36 HDMO DEMAND IN LATIN AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND COUNTRY, 2004
Table 3-37 HDMO DEMAND IN LATIN AMERICA BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2004 TO 2020
Table 3-38 DEMAND FOR INDUSTRIAL LUBRICANTS IN LATIN AMERICA, 2004
Table 3-39 PROJECTED DEMAND FOR FINISHED LUBRICANTS IN LATIN AMERICA, 2004 TO 2020

GLOBAL BASESTOCK DEMAND ANALYSIS AND FORECAST [US$ 10 000]

Figure 4-1 FORECAST NORTH AMERICA BASESTOCK DEMAND BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 4-2 FORECAST WESTERN EUROPE BASESTOCK DEMAND BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 4-3 FORECAST ASIA-PACIFIC BASESTOCK DEMAND BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 4-4 FORECAST LATIN AMERICA BASESTOCK DEMAND BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 4-5 FORECAST REST OF THE WORLD BASESTOCK DEMAND BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 4-6 ENGINE OIL SPECIFICATION UPGRADES LINKAGE WITH BASESTOCK DEMAND, 2004

GLOBAL BASESTOCK SUPPLY ANALYSIS AND FORECAST [US$ 750]

Figure 5-1 ESTIMATED GLOBAL BASESTOCK SUPPLY BY API GRADE, 2004
Table 5-1 ESTIMATED GLOBAL BASESTOCK CAPACITY AND SUPPLY, 2004
Table 5-2 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004
Table 5-3 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004
Table 5-4 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION IN THE ASIA-PACIFIC REGION, 2004
Table 5-5 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK CAPACITY AND PRODUCTION IN LATIN AMERICA, 2004
Table 5-6 GTL PROJECTS UNDER EVALUATION
Table 5-7 GTL BASESTOCK SUPPLY PROJECTIONS, 2010 TO 2020
Figure 5-2 NORTH AMERICA BASESTOCK SUPPLY BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 5-3 WESTERN EUROPE BASESTOCK SUPPLY BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 5-4 ASIA-PACIFIC BASESTOCK SUPPLY BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 5-5 LATIN AMERICA BASESTOCK SUPPLY BY API GROUP, 2004 TO 2020
Table 5-8 GLOBAL BASESTOCK SUPPLY FORECAST, 2004 TO 2020

SUPPLY AND DEMAND BALANCE [US$ 10 000]

Figure 6-1 GROUP I BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-2 GROUP II/II+ BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-3 GROUP III/III+ BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN NORTH AMERICA, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-4 GROUP I BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-5 GROUP II/II+ BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-6 GROUP III/III+ BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN WESTERN EUROPE, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-7 GROUP I BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-8 GROUP II/II+ BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004 TO 2020
Figure 6-9 GROUP III/III+ BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND BALANCE IN ASIA-PACIFIC, 2004 TO 2020
Table 6-1 GLOBAL BASESTOCK SUPPLY-DEMAND FORECAST, 2004 TO 2020 KBD

INTERNATIONAL TRADE [US$ 2 850]

MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT [US$ 2 850]

Figure 8-1 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK SOLVENT PROCESSING SCHEME
Figure 8-2 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK HYDROGEN PROCESSING SCHEME
Figure 8-4 HYDROCRACKATE CONVERSION
Figure 8-5 STEAM METHANE REFORMING
Figure 8-6 SYNGAS GENERATION SCHEME
Table 8-1 THEORETICAL SHULZ-FLORY-ANDERSON F-T PRODUCT DISTRIBUTION FOR a = 0.92
Figure 8-7 GTL BLOCK FLOW DIAGRAM FOR SHELL'S SMDS PROCESS
Figure 8-8 NAPHTHENIC BASESTOCK PROCESSING SCHEME
Figure 8-9 RE-REFINED BASESTOCK PROCESSING SCHEME
Figure 8-10 PAO MANUFACTURING SCHEME
Figure 8-11 VISCOSITY INDEX VERSUS YIELD

BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST ANALYSIS [US$ 8 550]

Figure 9-1 GLOBAL BASESTOCK CAPACITY BY API GROUP AND REGION, 2004
Figure 9-2 GROUP I MANUFACTURING: SOLVENT EXTRACTION
Figure 9-3 GROUP II MANUFACTURING: HYDROCRACKING
Figure 9-4 GROUP III MANUFACTURING: SLACK WAX
Figure 9-5 GROUP III MANUFACTURING: FUELS HYDROCRACKER BOTTOMS
Figure 9-6 GROUP IV (PAO) MANUFACTURING SCHEME
Figure 9-7 GTL-DERIVED BASESTOCKS: FUELS MEGA-PLANT
Table 9-1 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP I
Table 9-2 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP II
Table 9-3 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP III
Table 9-3 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP III Via Hydrocracking and Isodewaxing
Table 9-4 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP III Via Wax Isomerization
Table 9-5 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP III Via Isodewaxing of Fuel Hydrocracker Bottoms
Table 9-6 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COST STRUCTURE, GROUP III+
Table 9-7 SUMMARY OF BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING COSTS, 2004

LUBRICANT BASESTOCK PRICING ANALYSIS [US$ 8 550]

Table 10-1 LEADING BASESTOCK SUPPLIERS BY SIZE OF MERCHANT SALES
Figure 10-1 GROUP I BASESTOCK PRICE INDICATIONS BY VISCOSITY GRADE AND REGION, 2004
Figure 10-2 LUBRICANT BASESTOCK PRICE INDICATIONS BY API GROUP AND REGION, 2004
Figure 10-3 LUBRICANT BASESTOCK PRICE PROJECTIONS BY API GROUP AND REGION, 2010
Figure 10-4 LUBRICANT BASESTOCK PRICE PROJECTIONS BY API GROUP AND REGION, 2015
Figure 10-5 LUBRICANT BASESTOCK PRICE PROJECTIONS BY API GROUP AND REGION, 2020

BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS [US$ 2 850]

SUPPLIER PROFILES [US$ 10 000]

BP PLC [US$ 750]

Figure 12-1 BUSINESS STRUCTURE OF THE BP GROUP

ChevronTexaco [US$ 750]

Figure 12-2 CHEVRONTEXACO'S NET INCOME BY OPERATION, 2003
Figure 12-3 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR CHEVRON'S RICHMOND PLANT

ConocoPhillips [US$ 750]

Figure 12-4 CONOCOPHILLIPS' ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
Figure 12-5 PROCESSING SCHEME FOR EXCEL PARALUBES

Ergon [US$ 750]

Figure 12-6 PROCESSING SCHEME FOR ERGON'S VICKSBURG PLANT
Figure 12-7 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME OF ERGON'S NEWELL PLANT

ExxonMobil Corporation [US$ 750]

Figure 12-8 EXXONMOBIL'S ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
Table 12-1 CAPACITIES OF BASESTOCK REFINERIES OPERATED BY EXXONMOBIL
Figure 12-9 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR EXXONMOBIL'S BATON ROUGE PLANT
Figure 12-10 PARAFFINIC GROUP I/II+ BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR EXXONMOBIL'S BAYTOWN PLANT
Figure 12-11 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR EXXONMOBIL'S BEAUMONT PLANT
Figure 12-12 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR IMPERIAL OIL'S SARNIA PLANT
Figure 12-13 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR IMPERIAL OIL'S STRATHCONA PLANT

Fortum [US$ 500]

Figure 12-14 MANUFACTURING SCHEME AT FORTUM'S PORVOO LUBE BASESTOCK REFINERY

Idemitsu Kosan [US$ 750]

Figure 12-15 IDEMITSU'S CORPORATE ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE
Figure 12-16 IDEMITSU'S BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME AT CHIBA

Lukoil [US$ 750]

Motiva Enterprises [US$ 500]

Figure 12-17 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR MOTIVA'S PORT ARTHUR PLANT

Nippon Oil Corporation [US$ 750]

Figure 12-18 NIPPON OIL'S BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME AT MIZUSHIMA
Figure 12-19 NIPPON OIL'S PRODUCTION SCHEME FOR GROUP I BASESTOCK AT NEGISHI
Figure 12-20 NIPPON OIL'S BASESTOCK PRODUCTION SCHEME AT YOKOHAMA

Petroleos De Venezuela, S.A. [US$ 750]

Table 12-2 BASESTOCK PRODUCTION AT PDVSA's REFINERIA ISLA BY VISCOSITY GRADE, 2003
Figure 12-21 PROCESSING SCHEME FOR PDVSA's CITGO LAKE CHARLES REFINERY

Petrobras [US$ 750]

Figure 12-22 ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE OF PETROBRAS
Table 12-3 ESTIMATED BASESTOCK PRODUCTION BY FACILITY, TYPE, AND GRADE, 2004
Figure 12-23 PARAFFINIC
BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR PETROBRAS' DUQUE DE CAXIAS PLANT
Figure 12-24 PARAFFINIC BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME FOR PETROBRAS' LANDULPHO ALVES PLANT

Petro-Canada [US$ 500]

Figure 12-25 PETRO-CANADA'S BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME

S-Oil [US$ 500]

Table 12-5 BASESTOCK PRODUCTION OF S-OIL'S ONSAN REFINERY BY VISCOSITY GRADE
Figure 12-26 MANUFACTURING PROCESS SCHEME AT S-OIL'S ONSAN PLANT

Shell [US$ 750]

Figure 12-27 SHELL'S ORGANIZATIONAL CHART
Table 12-6 SHELL'S ESTIMATED BASESTOCK CAPACITY AND OWNERSHIP BY REFINERY
Table 12-7 BASESTOCK PRODUCTION OF SHELL'S PETIT-COURONNE PLANT BY VISCOSITY GRADE
Table 12-8 BASESTOCK PRODUCTION OF SHELL'S HARBURG REFINERY BY VISCOSITY GRADE

Sinopec [US$ 750]

Figure 12-28 GROUP II/III MANUFACTURING SCHEME AT GAOQIAO REFINERY
Figure 12-29 GROUP I/II+ MANUFACTURING SCHEME AT JINGMEN PLANT

SK Corporation [US$ 750]

Figure 12-30 MANUFACTURING PROCESS SCHEME FOR SK's ULSAN PLANT

TOTAL [US$ 500]

Valero Corporation[US$ 500]

Figure 12-31 BASESTOCK MANUFACTURING SCHEME OF VALERO'S PAULSBORO PLANT
Figure 12-32 PROCESSING SCHEME FOR VALERO'S THREE RIVERS PLANT

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Market Research: Global Opportunities in the Lubricant Basestocks Industry 2004-2020

Global Opportunities in the Lubricant Basestocks Industry 2004-2020

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Market Research: Global Opportunities in the Lubricant
Basestocks Industry 2004-2020